New: Fisher Base v2

Catch the turn.
Ride the trend.

Fisher Base finds turning points early, then holds while momentum stays positive. Small losses when a turn fails, big wins when it runs. Tested on 16 markets, 2020 to 2026, with fees included.

BTC/USD, daily, Fisher Base v2 signals
Buy Exit S warning Fisher curve
16/16markets where winning trades outweighed losing trades
4.7xaverage win (+27.0%) against average loss (-5.7%)
1.58Sharpe ratio, against 1.36 for buy & hold on the same markets
56%of real 10% swing lows caught, against 17% for RSI 30/70

Hypothetical backtest on past prices with a 0.1% fee on every buy and sell; slippage and taxes not included. Past results don't guarantee future results. Not financial advice. Full methodology and results.

Why not just ask AI?

AI can write an indicator in 30 seconds. It can’t tell you if it works.

We tested an indicator built with AI from a single prompt on the same 16 markets as Fisher Base. It looked professional. Here’s what the numbers showed.

56% vs 8%
real swing lows caught: Fisher Base vs the AI-built indicator

You get a trend-confirmer, not a turn-catcher

Ask AI for a buy/sell indicator and it stacks the usual parts: moving averages, Supertrend, MACD, RSI, ADX. Then it waits for them all to agree. By the time they do, the turn is behind you.

+4% a year
trading the AI indicator’s own stop and target lines, down from +65% without them

Looking right isn’t being right

The AI-built script drew neat stop-loss and 2:1 target lines, and nothing had checked them. Traded as drawn, they cut the big winners short, and the big winners were its whole edge.

4.8 vs 1.9
t-stat, Fisher Base vs the AI-built indicator. Above 2 is the usual bar for “not luck”

A lucky run isn’t an edge

Most of the AI indicator’s profit came from a handful of trades held for years, too few to rule out luck. Fisher Base’s edge is spread over about 1,400 trades and held up on 2016–2019 data it was never tuned on.

Ask AIFisher Base v2
Time to build30 secondsYears of use and refinement
Tested before you trade itOnly if you test it yourself16 markets, 2016 to 2026, fees included
Real swing lows caught (daily)8%56%
ExitsIts own stop and target lines cut returns to +4% a yearHold exit, tested in both periods
Consistency (t-stat)1.94.8
Alerts, Discord, updatesYou build and maintain themIncluded

Code is easy now. Proof isn’t.

Fisher Base comes with years of use, testing on 16 markets, and an exit built to hold the winners.

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Compared with one indicator generated by AI from a single prompt (an 8-condition confluence design), tested on the same 16 markets, daily bars, January 2020 to September 2026, long only, 0.1% fee per trade. Fisher Base signals more often than that indicator; against random timing with the same number of signals it still catches more turns (56% vs 41%). The t-stat measures how consistent results are across trades. Hypothetical backtest. Past results don't guarantee future results. Not financial advice.

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